High fuel prices are wreaking havoc in Europe, some call for tax exemptions others go on strike. The structural constraints affecting oil supply are becoming to much to bear for Europeans, especially those more reliant on the automobile.
But before going out for a demonstration against who ever you [...]
The Coming Energy Wars

Oil prices could hit $200 a barrel in the next few months. How the spike changes everything.
This spring, America hit a historic point. With average gas prices per gallon edging toward $4, America's notoriously profligate ways started to change fast. Americans are driving [...]
Crikey has a series of articles on "oil, the future and you", with the first installment featuring Adam Grubb of Energy Bulletin (which has the full text for non-Crikey subscribers).
The high price of petrol today is causing discomfort among motorists. So much so that our federal politicians have [...]
Posted: May 30, 2008, 6:30pm EDT by Big Gav
“Alright!” says the Actress, “You’ve convinced me we have a problem with oil. So what’s the answer?” Well, actually I didn’t. Eloquent and persuasive though I might like to think that I am, what really convinced her was the price she had to pay to fill the gas tank in [...]
I am very fond of thought experiments. I like to ask "What If?" This can help me wrap my head around a problem. For instance, if I wonder how much land it would take for solar panels to produce enough electricity to supply the U.S., that's a thought experiment. [...]
Press Release from Eat The Suburbs: The Australian co-founder of the permaculture concept David Holmgren has today launched a new global scenario planning website, Future Scenarios: www.FutureScenarios.org.

Holmgren says his future scenarios will help both policy makers and activists come to terms [...]
Posted: May 26, 2008, 7:00pm EDT by Phil Hart
Kunstler OpEd in the WaPo: "Wake Up, America. We're Driving Toward Disaster"
I detect in this strident plea the desperate wish to keep our "Happy Motoring" utopia running by means other than oil and its byproducts. But the truth is that no combination of solar, wind and nuclear power, ethanol, [...]
In my post on ocean energy a few months ago I briefly mentioned a scheme by a small Australian company called BioPower to trial some tidal power and wave power technologies in Bass Strait that used "biomimicry" based design principles.
The project is due to [...]
Posted: May 25, 2008, 6:30pm EDT by Big Gav
With gas prices across the country reaching $4/gallon--and peak oil starting to become a part of the meme--both forcing many to complain about and adapt to the impact of gas on their budgets, we'd like to hear about what's going on in your county, town, city or suburban/exurban subdivision.
I found [...]
Posted: May 25, 2008, 10:15am EDT by Glenn
For a bit of weekend energy listening, here's a conversation that I had with Tad Patzek (who should need no introduction around here), talking about ethanol's energy balance. This was recorded 2 years ago now, but it still remains quite timely today. You can listen to the mp3 [...]
Posted: May 25, 2008, 10:00am EDT by benk
Credit crisis was crude compared with this oil price surge
Where the banking meltdown has largely been confined to the paper-based hinterlands of structured debt products and banking writedowns, the ongoing surge in the oil price is very much a real-economy issue.
Whether you subscribe to the view that the [...]
Ed note: This is a repost of Gail's Peak Oil Overview with a new comment thread and node. It originally ran Mar 2008. We appreciate you spreading this around to anyone who needs to learn more about this topic.
Preliminary data regarding oil production through December 2007 is now available from [...]
This is a guest post from Tim Jones of the Sustainable Energy Forum in New Zealand.
With the price of petrol hitting NZ$2 per litre, the Sustainable Energy Forum has proposed twelve steps for New Zealand to end its increasingly self-destructive addiction to oil.
Our addiction to oil has been bad [...]
Posted: May 24, 2008, 7:00pm EDT by Big Gav
StatoilHydro Shuts North Sea Platform After Oil Leak (Update2)
May 24 (Bloomberg) -- StatoilHydro ASA, the Nordic region's largest oil and natural-gas producer, shut down 138,000 barrels a day of oil production from three platforms in the North Sea following a leak. . . .
The platforms were shut down after [...]
OBAMA: 'We can't drive our SUVs and eat as much as we want and keep our homes on 72 degrees at all times... and then just expect that other countries are going to say OK'...
Discuss. (AFP via Google via Drudge)

[...]
US natural gas production has been flat for a number of years. We keep hearing that US production is expected to begin declining sometime in the next few years, but it doesn't seem to happen. While it is not obvious from most published data, the reason production remains level is [...]
In our last poll on 16 APR (and here's the old accompanying comment thread), 42% of you predicted that CL would hit $127 in the front month before it hit $103. Yep, we've passed it today, though we closed below it. Oil has risen from $115 to $127 [...]
In Siberia, Shopping Malls Are Sprouting All Over
Siberia, where Russians waited in long lines to buy food with ration cards not long ago, is the improbable epicenter of a huge mall boom. As retail businesses shrink in the United States, provincial Russian towns like this one have become targets [...]
Posted: May 18, 2008, 9:35am EDT by Leanan
Back at the beginning of January I changed cars, and now drive a Camry Hybrid. It came with the usual displays for mpg, where the power was flowing and such, and for a month I played with looking at the different displays and then, as with most new toys, started [...]
$4 Gas: The End of an Era?
Someday, family road trips may become completely unaffordable. People who study the oil industry say that classic summer road trips could be going the way of the extinct Ford Edsel.
That's because the demand for oil is increasing all over the world. In [...]
Posted: May 17, 2008, 9:17am EDT by Leanan
(Type a title for your page here)
This is a guest post by Alexis Ziegler. Alexis is a communitarian, builder, orchardist and environmental activist living in central Virginia. He is the author of a recently published book, Culture Change: Civil Liberty, Peak Oil, and the End of Empire. More information can [...]
High Steel Prices: A Preview of Peak Oil
I use the phrase “Crunch Time” to denote the period after Peak Oil during which oil prices are so high due to production shortfalls that the normal functioning of economic activity is curtailed. Not only are the poor - and eventually the [...]
Posted: May 16, 2008, 9:13am EDT by Leanan
Introduction
In my last post I suggested that over the next 5 years Australia’s ability to import oil will be severely constrained. We won’t be able to just switch suppliers, because that is what everybody will be trying to do – we need smarter solutions and they need to start [...]
Posted: May 15, 2008, 7:00pm EDT by aeldric
This is a talk given by Dan Bednarz to a group of nurses. The talk was given at the House of Delegates Meeting of the Pennsylvania Association of Staff Nurses & Allied Professionals (Pasnap) in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania on April 29, 2008.
Dan is a healthcare consultant who tries to get [...]
Gas Prices Send Surge of Riders to Mass Transit
DENVER — With the price of gas approaching $4 a gallon, more commuters are abandoning their cars and taking the train or bus instead.
Mass transit systems around the country are seeing standing-room-only crowds on bus lines where seats were once easy [...]
Posted: May 10, 2008, 9:25am EDT by Leanan
Thanks to TOD reader Tim R. for pointing out this piece on the food v. fuel problem in the Seattle PI yesterday. One takeaway message (but is it a valid one?) is contained in this chart from a group at The University of Washington (click to enlarge):
[...]
'Peak oil' is here. Now what?
What does it mean that crude oil is peaking? Essentially it means that the world has used half the oil available to extract and will enter a permanent decline, even as world energy demand is rising, with new economic powerhouses China and India growing [...]
Posted: May 09, 2008, 9:12am EDT by Leanan

The logo of the ASPOItaly-2 conference. It shows, superimposed to the classic ASPO peak, the mythical "post peak car", the battery powered, retrofitted Fiat 500
Conference report, many links and some pictures below the fold.
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The second national conference of the Italian section of [...]
Posted: May 09, 2008, 1:45am EDT by Ugo Bardi
Animal rights group PETA recently announced a $1 million reward for the first person to make in-vitro meat (leading Bruce Sterling to dub them "People for the Ethical Treatment of Alien Lumps of Flesh").
While PETA's aim here seems to be to be to publicise [...]
Posted: May 08, 2008, 7:00pm EDT by Big Gav
Analysts Neil McMahon and Ben Dell from Bernstein Research are back with more analysis. When we last heard from them, they were looking for Haradh in all the wrong places and reporting on the widespread dismantling and bulldozing of oil wells in Ghawar, the super giant oil field [...]
Posted: May 08, 2008, 10:00am EDT by JoulesBurn
Gas jumps nearly 3 cents to record; oil crosses $124
NEW YORK - Gasoline and crude oil jumped to new records Thursday, with gas rising 3 cents to an average national price of nearly $3.65 a gallon and oil crossing $124 a barrel for the first time.
At the [...]
Posted: May 08, 2008, 9:13am EDT by Leanan
This story is part of my new Countdown to $200 oil series, which is the successor of my earlier, and now terminated by reality, Countdown to $100 Oil series.
As in previous years, I got my ass whipped in my latest attempt to suggest on Daily Kos that gas [...]
Just an update: http://bartlett.house.gov/News/DocumentSingle.aspx?DocumentID=90703
Congressman Roscoe G. Bartlett, joined by 34 House colleagues, today introduced a bipartisan companion to S. 2821, the bipartisan Clean Energy Tax Stimulus Act of 2008. S. 2821 was introduced by Senators Maria Cantwell (D-WA) and John Ensign (R-NV) and has 43 cosponsors. S. 2821 [...]
Quite a few people believe that if there is a decline in oil production, we can make up much of the difference by increasing our use of electricity--more nuclear, wind, solar voltaic, geothermal or even coal. The problem with this model is that it assumes that our electric grid will [...]
Oil surges to new highs, dealers focus on diesel
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Oil prices rose 1.4 percent on Wednesday, extending further into record territory amid intensifying worries over tight world supplies of diesel fuel.
U.S. crude leapt $1.69 to settle at $123.53 a barrel, before hitting an all-time peak [...]
Posted: May 07, 2008, 9:08am EDT by Leanan
Energy Minister Martin Ferguson has been talking about gas to liquids (a subject covered here previously) as part of a strategy to address Australia's dependence on imported fuels. The minister has also previously expressed enthusiasm about coal to liquids projects (declaring at a recent [...]
Posted: April 13, 2008, 10:22am EDT by Big Gav
Peak and ye shall find - it doesn’t have to be so bad
Let’s begin with a silly bet sent out by ASPO (Association for the Study of Peak Oil) to CERA (Cambridge Energy Research Associates, part of IHS). It wasn’t bad marketing: I suspect that some magazine(s) will publish [...]
Posted: April 13, 2008, 9:15am EDT by Leanan
Vincent V. in NYC writes: Garbage trucks are a major source of urban air pollution. One truck pollutes about as much as 350 cars. NYC has been moving to switch utility vehicles to hybrid tech (w/city buses & taxis), but not with garbage trucks.
There was a PR event yesterday at [...]
Gas is only the starter fluid: As cost of driving jumps, car-buying, vacation plans take a hit
PRINCETON, N.J. (MarketWatch) -- Owning a car is more expensive than ever. Record prices at the pump for gasoline -- and its main ingredient crude oil -- will lift the cost of driving [...]
Posted: April 12, 2008, 8:00am EDT by Leanan
The EIA’s newest International Petroleum Monthly shows World C+C production for January was 74,466,000 barrels per day, eclipsing the heretofore peak of May 2005 by 168,000 barrels per day. (thanks to Ron Patterson for the heads up and to Khebab for the quick graphics).
[...]
OPEC: Gas Prices Will Stay High
As gas prices heads for a possible $4 a gallon in the U.S. this summer, it's tempting to blame Big Oil — as many in Congress did last week — for its bloated profits greased by generous tax breaks. But the players in the [...]
Posted: April 11, 2008, 9:10am EDT by Leanan
There's good news and bad news contained in Martin Ferguson's keynote address at the "Energy State of the Nation 2008" conference held in Sydney on 18th March, organised by the Australia Energy Alliance.

[break]
The good news is that HON Martin Ferguson (Federal Minister for Resources, Energy and Tourism) [...]
The Ohio State University Department of Public Health is sponsoring a web-based teach-in today, which they would like TOD readers to help publicize.
Converging Environmental Crises:
A Teach-In on Energy, Climate Change, Water, Agriculture and Population
Thursday, April 10, 2008
11:00am to 4:00pm EDT
[sg60.oar.net]
It's free!! Gail's talk is [...]
This past week, courtesy of Leanan and Gail it seems that there have been more than the usual number of stories on natural gas developments and the potentials of formations such as the Utica shale, the Haynesville shale, and the Marcellus shale. [...]
Delta, Northwest could announce merger next week
Pressured by extraordinary jet fuel prices, Delta and Northwest airlines want to announce a merger deal as soon as next week, according to two sources briefed on the airlines' plans.
The companies, which were ready to announce a merger in February, have held off [...]
Posted: April 10, 2008, 9:23am EDT by Leanan
Can't drive 55? How about 65 instead
NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Sammy Hagar's protest ballad for speeders would need a 10-mile-per-hour update if a trucking group gets its way.
The American Trucking Associations, which represents trucking companies, is calling for the return of a uniform national speed limit, something this country [...]
Posted: April 05, 2008, 9:31am EDT by Leanan
Which countries are increasing in oil production? Which are decreasing? How is this changing? Can we expect that the increasing ones will continue to increase in 2008? Does the megaprojects data give any insight into the future increases of growing countries? These are some of the questions that Matt [...]
Oil reserve site raises ire, Bush policy tested
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The Bush administration says it favors "environmentally friendly" energy development, but that policy is under attack in a Mississippi town where residents worry a planned emergency oil reserve may drain a river, destroy wetlands and harm Gulf of [...]
Posted: April 04, 2008, 6:09pm EDT by Leanan
On Tuesday we ran Part 1 of a 5 part series of EROI posts by Professor Charles Hall and his energy students. Professor Hall (to my surprise) read through all theoildrum comments and sent me an email with his responses and some summary comments, which I have posted below. [...]
We have run several articles recently on nuclear power and without fail they have stimulated enthusiastic debate. This is an opportunity to continue that debate. To start us off we have three guest contributions:
Skip Meier - Nuclear Waste
Bill Hannahan - We have yet to design the Model T of [...]
ConocoPhillips sees refining margins squeezed in first quarter
HOUSTON — ConocoPhillips warned Thursday that higher crude prices significantly squeezed refining margins in the first quarter.
The company said domestic refining and marketing margins for the quarter are expected to be significantly lower than they were at the end of last [...]
Posted: April 03, 2008, 9:12am EDT by Leanan
While we spend a lot of time talking about traditional energy sources based on depleting resources that are extracted from the ground, I think its important to remember that the fastest growing sources of energy are solar and wind, and that these will never run out. [...]
Posted: April 02, 2008, 6:00pm EDT by Big Gav
I had thought that the short thread that has run through my last few posts – relating to the imminence of a fuels crisis, and the lack of political perception of the problem, had run out. And then I read the piece from Salon that threadbot had [...]
Military feels the gouge of fuel costs as Iraq, allies watch oil profits soar
WASHINGTON (AP) -- Think you're being gouged by Big Oil? U.S. troops in Iraq are paying almost as much as Americans back home, despite burning fuel at staggering rates in a war to stabilize a [...]
Posted: April 02, 2008, 9:15am EDT by Leanan
This is the first of a five part series of guest posts by Professor Charles Hall of the SUNY College of Environmental Science and Forestry and his students and collaborative researchers. Professor Hall previously posted on TOD, "At $100 Oil, What Can the Scientist Say to the [...]
This is a guest post by Garry Glazebrook, who is an urban transport consultant and urban planning lecturer at the University of Technology, Sydney. The Sustainable Futures Fund is described in the Australian context, but with our population of 21 million and a local currency approaching 1:1 with the US [...]
This is a guest post by John Michael Greer, who blogs at The Archdruid Report. John is the Grand Archdruid of the Ancient Order of Druids in America (AODA) and has been active in the alternative spirituality movement for more than 25 years, and is the author of a [...]
New 'super-spike' might mean $200 a barrel oil
NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- With $100-a-barrel here for now, Goldman Sachs says $200 a barrel could be a reality in the not-too-distant future in the case of a "major disruption."
Goldman on Friday also boosted by $10 the low end of its 2008-2012 [...]
Posted: March 07, 2008, 8:45am EST by Leanan
This post includes some ideas of Matt Mushalik, plus some of my analysis. Matt is a retired civil engineer and regional planner from Sydney, Australia.
If a person looks at published oil reserves, it is easy to get the idea that there are huge amounts of oil left to be extracted. [...]
Kjell Aleklett: ASPO and Peak oil theorists challenge Saudi Arabia
In Paris, March 2, 2008, Ali al-Naimi, oil minister for the world's largest crude producer, Saudi Arabia, and one of the oil industry's most influential figures, has been discussing Peak Oil. He has stated that Saudi Arabia, which already has [...]
Posted: March 06, 2008, 8:39am EST by Leanan
Oil Rises Above $104 to Record on OPEC Output, Venezuela Tanks.
This is the comment thread for the poll, which is in the next post below. (Sorry, there's some glitch that I can't figure out to put them in the same thread.)

[...]
I have been a fan of Robert Bryce’s writing for a long time. His style is witty and entertaining, and he is a debunker-extraordinaire. His newest book, Gusher of Lies: The Dangerous Delusions of Energy Independence [...]
This post looks at the role the USA plays in global grain (wheat, corn, sorghum) and soybean (soya bean) trade, since the USA is to a large extent the world's breadbasket and there are concerns over this role in the light of the current corn-to-ethanol expansion. The article begins by [...]
Posted: March 05, 2008, 9:59am EST by Doug Low

Forecast for Conventional Fossil Fuels per Capita.
Sources:
UN for Population model,
Jean Laherrère [pdf!] for Natural Gas,
Energy Watch Group for Coal and
The Oil Drum - Khebab for Oil. Click for large
version.
[break]
Foreword
My first post at TOD was [...]
Oil Climbs Above $102 to a Record as Dollar Falls Against Euro
"All the crude oil available is being vacuumed up by investors, in part because interest rates are low and there's no alternative to commodities that looks very good," said Tim Evans, an energy analyst at Citigroup Global [...]
(Editors Note: This is a guest post by TOD reader Jon Friese. Jon is a software engineer living in Minneapolis and a volunteer with the Twin Cities Energy Transition working group, seeking a path to a low carbon future. Under his own initiative Jon tracked down literature on EROI methodology, [...]
I haven't reported on inventories in about a month, because there really weren't any developments that merited a report. While crude, distillate, and propane inventory levels have been typical for this time of year, the gasoline situation is worth a note.
It sort of crept up on me, but last week [...]
Another Peek at the Plateau
Deutsche Bank’s oil team is jumping into the swirling peak-oil debate, arguing that steep decline rates in existing oil fields will make it all but impossible for producers to break beyond a 100 million-barrel-a-day ceiling.
Their analysis puts the bank, long a big player in [...]
When I was in graduate school at Texas A&M in the early 90's, I selected chemical engineering Professor Mark Holtzapple as my research advisor. His work was exactly in my area of interest: Biofuels from cellulose. Even then, I was very concerned about the unsustainable lifestyle we were living, [...]
The prospect of going through a cold winter with inadequate heat is a real one. More and more Americans are putting their winter heating fuel on credit, increasing their level of debt and the burden of servicing it. This cannot continue indefinitely. When the ARM resets or the credit [...]
The following is a guest post by TOD reader Doug Fir. 'Doug' graduated in the 70's with a BS and a MS in Fisheries, Forestry, and Agriculture. Presently, he and his family work a small hay, timber and livestock operation. The policies impacting climate change legislation are linked in complicated [...]
The Next Price to Watch for After $100 Oil
If you want a longer benchmark to keep an eye on, look at "The Coming Triple-Digit Oil Prices" (.pdf) by petroleum economist Philip Verleger, published last fall in the International Economy magazine. Writing during the summer, when oil was in [...]
This is another press release about $100 barrel oil. It is fairly similar to the one we sent out in January when oil hit an intraday high of $100 barrel. Feel free to send copies of it to folks you know, and to link to it in your web [...]
Some people think I am anti-ethanol. That is an oversimplification, and a misrepresentation of my position. I have nothing against ethanol as a fuel. It isn't as good a fuel as butanol, but then again we can't make butanol as efficiently as we make ethanol.
My objection is that I [...]
Oil hits record over $101 on OPEC, funds
NEW YORK, Feb 20 (Reuters) - Oil vaulted to a record over $101 a barrel on Wednesday as OPEC supply concerns and hedge fund buying countered worries about the U.S. economy.
U.S. crude ended up 73 cents at $100.74 barrel, the top [...]
I made the following comment recently in a discussion on Global Warming:
If you put it to a popular vote, and people learned that GHG emissions could be arrested (hypothetically) if they were willing to pay $7/gallon of gasoline, what percentage would vote for that? My guess is that it [...]
Oil breaks $100, hits new all-time high
NEW YORK (AP) -- Oil prices hit new record highs Tuesday as a Texas refinery fire and fears of an OPEC production cut pushed crude to settle at over $100 a barrel for the first time ever.
U.S. crude for March delivery jumped $4.51 [...]
We have been writing for almost 3 years on this site about the privatization of energy data by IHS Energy and the negative impact the lack of accuracy that CERAs historically optimistic claims are having on energy policy. The rebuttals and counteranalysis at TOD to CERAs assertions are too [...]
In response to a recent query from an independent student newspaper in the UK, I wrote up an editorial piece on the politics of biofuels. That essay is reproduced below the fold. (The original can be found here.)
One of the intentions was to point out for European readers why [...]
Rice: US naming special energy envoy
WASHINGTON - Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice said Wednesday she will appoint a special envoy for energy issues to deal with the use of oil and gas for political means, particularly in Central Asia.
Her comments to a congressional committee come amid threats [...]

The figure above is taken from the 2004 edition of "The Limits to Growth". It shows the typical curves that the models of the study produce. These curves are similar to those of oil depletion studies based on the "Hubbert model". The similarity is [...]
The Canberra Times recently published an article, rather misleadingly entitled "Generating solar energy in the dark", which looked at the use of purified graphite for thermal energy storage.
The company developing the technology is called Lloyd Energy Systems, and they are prototyping solar energy storage, a wind-to-heat plant and [...]
http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080212/venezuela_us_oil.html?.v=9
CARACAS, Venezuela (AP) -- Venezuela's state oil company said Tuesday that it has stopped selling crude to Exxon Mobil Corp. in response to the U.S. oil company's drive to use the courts to seize billions of dollars in Venezuelan assets.
Exxon Mobil is locked in a dispute over the [...]
It is a beautiful day outside, one of the crisp days of Winter where it becomes a pleasant chore to restock the wood pile near the house. Soon we will begin to tidy up the yard, and Spring will be here and plans are already made for trips and travel [...]
Last week found me at the top table at a conference, having just given one of my “we’re doomed” talks on energy supply to the assembled group. As the conversation flowed around the table, the topic turned to reducing the size of electricity bills that have become a visible marker [...]
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